Who gets the win?! ESPN FPI says Sooners take a look
- Strength of Record: Reflects chance that an average Top 25 team would have team’s record or better, given the schedule. On a 0 to 100 scale, where 100 is best.
- Adj Win-Loss: Team’s W-L adjusted for chance an average FBS team would have team’s record or better, given the schedule.
- Game Control: Reflects chance that an average Top 25 team would control games from start to end the way this team did, given the schedule. On a 0 to 100 scale, where 100 is best.
- Adj Win Probability: Team’s average in-game win probability adjusted for chance that an average FBS team would control games from start to end the way this team did, given the schedule.
- Avg Win Probability: Team’s average in-game win probability across all plays of all games played, not adjusted for site or opponent.
- FPI: Football Power Index that measures team’s true strength on net points scale; expected point margin vs average opponent on neutral field.
- Projected W-L: Projected overall W-L, accounting for results to date and FPI-based projections for remaining scheduled games (including potential conference championship games). May not sum to a whole number because of differing number of games played in each simulation.
- Chance of winning out: Percent of season simulations in which team won all remaining scheduled games as well as conference championship game (if applicable).
- Chance of winning conference: Percent of season simulations in which team won its conference, incorporating chance of getting to and winning conference championship game (if applicable). Accounts for shared conference titles in conferences that allow them.
- SOS Remaining: Rank among all FBS teams of remaining schedule strength, from perspective of an average FBS team.
- PROJ: Team’s projected win percentage in game, based on each team’s current FPI, game location and game type (bowl, FCS, etc.).
- OPP FPI: Opponent’s most updated Football Power Index rating.
- Game Score: Measure of game performance including how well the team controlled the game along with the final result, accounting for site and opponent strength. On a 0 to 100 scale, where 100 is best.
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